Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:47 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Pat Connaughton figures to see a rise in output in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

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