Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has tallied 3.7 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 77th percentile.
Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Spurs have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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