Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has compiled 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's compiled overall this year.
Pat Connaughton has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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