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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has posted 5.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's posted overall this season on the road.

Pat Connaughton has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

Pat Connaughton has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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