Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 9:35 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Pat Connaughton has converted 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has failed to convert 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Bucks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Pat Connaughton figures to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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