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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Clippers

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has attempted 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

Pat Connaughton has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

The matchup against the Clippers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted just 15.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Pat Connaughton will likely see a spike in output for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot 43.3% on shot attempts from the field (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 5th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Clippers).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can result in added opportunities for offense).

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