Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 5:54 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 6.3% more than he's made in all games this season without the home court advantage.
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing clubs have totaled the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA this year (33.4).
The 3rd-fastest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has attempted a mere 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit less than his 5.3 mark last year.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the 76ers (saving possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 25.2 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the 76ers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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