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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (24th percentile).

When it comes to shooting, the Bucks's impressive 124.4 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the strongest in the league this year.

The most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Houston Rockets have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Pat Connaughton has attempted 0.5 free throws per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Rockets are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted an enormous 25.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (most in the league).

Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance across the board.

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