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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has attempted 5.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.7%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Wizards have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has successfully made just 38.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 45.6 mark last season.

Pat Connaughton has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

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