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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (21st percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk a lowly 38.4% of his field goals this season, significantly lower than his 45.6 rate last season.

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.

When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a lowly 64.0% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 87.5 rate last year.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, averaging a measly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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