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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/30/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Celtics have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a measly 21.7 free throws per game when the Celtics are the visiting squad this year (3rd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a lowly 37.8% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 45.6 rate last year.

Pat Connaughton has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a lowly 64.0% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 87.5 mark last season.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at getting to the foul line in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, totaling a mere 22.4 free throw attempts per game.

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