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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has made 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Pat Connaughton has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 10 games (21.8).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.

The Suns have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player performance across the board.

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