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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Pat Connaughton has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played in all games this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing at home, the Warriors have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games (39.3).

The Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Warriors are at home, the other team have attempted a colossal 23.1 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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