Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Pat Connaughton has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Magic is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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