Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has sunk 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while on his home court.
Pat Connaughton has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played overall this season.
The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 10 games (28.8%).
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a positive one for scoring; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 23rd-most buckets per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.8).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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