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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on his home court.

Pat Connaughton has averaged 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Magic is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 12th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).

Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Orlando may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 0.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting team (14th-least in the league).

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