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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the league (16th percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk just 36.7% of his shots from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 45.6 rate last season.

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a lowly 54.6% of his foul shots this year, a significant dropoff from his 87.5 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 25.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from the field; without the home court advantage, their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (50.5%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

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