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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

Pat Connaughton has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (17th percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Raptors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has converted just 35.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly less than his 45.6 mark last year.

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a mere 53.7% of his foul shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 87.5 rate last season.

The matchup against the Raptors may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted just 26.1 foul shots per game this year when playing on the road (4th-least in the league).

The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (36.5%).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

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