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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Pat Connaughton has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.

Pat Connaughton has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has converted just 34.9% of his field goal attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 45.6 mark last year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; while at home, opposing squads have posted the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.6%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

More Pat Connaughton Player Props

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