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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three in all games this year.

Pat Connaughton has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

The matchup against the Hawks is a positive one for 3-pointers; when playing at home, the other team have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (10.4).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has converted a lowly 35.2% of his field goals this season, significantly lower than his 45.6 rate last season.

The Hawks have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing away from home this year.

The matchup against the Hawks is a difficult one for shots from the field; on their home court, opposing starting SFs have posted the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league since the start of last season (40.6%).

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the NBA).

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