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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Pat Connaughton has successfully made 40.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year without the home court advantage.
  • Pat Connaughton has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this season.
  • Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (20th percentile).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
  • At home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Pat Connaughton has successfully made a lowly 33.9% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 45.6 rate last season.
  • The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one for shots from the field; on their home court, their opposition have shot for the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (49.2%).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
  • The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one for shots from the field; with the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 9th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.7).

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