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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2022

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Pat Connaughton has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 13th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Bucks have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase possessions for the Timberwolves.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have posted the 5th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.1%).
  • Pat Connaughton will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raises player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Pat Connaughton has converted a measly 34.1% of his field goals this season, quite a bit lower than his 45.6 rate last season.
  • Pat Connaughton has made just 56.3% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 87.5 rate last season.
  • While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the NBA).

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