Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 45.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Milwaukee Bucks's superb 37.7% rate of successful threes rates 6th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 three-pointers per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
The Suns have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.

Favors Under

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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