Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has sunk 42.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.
Pat Connaughton has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.0 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 5.3 mark, Pat Connaughton's 3-point attempts have regressed this year to 3.5 per game.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 37.5 three attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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