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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has attempted 5.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against Washington is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Wizards are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have posted the 29th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.7%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Wizards have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Wizards have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance across the board.

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