Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has attempted 18.5 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has attempted and missed 2.7 three-pointers per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 75th percentile for misses .
The Toronto Raptors have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Boston is a challenging one for field goals; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 7th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Celtics may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).