Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has converted 10.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted overall this season.
Pascal Siakam has played 37.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam has attempted 6.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game this year when the Pelicans are the visiting team (25th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has converted 21.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, -10.8% less than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.1).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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