Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 91st percentile for shots on his home court, registering 16.5 per game this year.
Paolo Banchero has played 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Orlando Magic have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.8 free throws per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Magic's poor 108.4 points per game places 4th-fewest in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).
The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Magic.
This year, opposing squads have come down with 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (lengthening possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).