Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 20.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to raise possessions for the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has successfully made 6.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero measures in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, averaging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Orlando Magic's unimpressive 102.6 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Phoenix Suns are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Magic.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Suns (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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