Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 15.4 shots per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Paolo Banchero has played 33.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in terms of attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.2).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has successfully made 23.2% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Hornets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Charlotte may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Hornets are at home (11th-least in the NBA).