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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paolo Banchero has averaged 20.1 points per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
  • Paolo Banchero has averaged 32.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. Caleb Martin is a strong one for field goal attempts; when Martin is on the road fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a colossal 13.2 shots made from the field per game (96th percentile).
  • The Orlando Magic have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Paolo Banchero has attempted 8.1 free throws per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Paolo Banchero has made 26.6% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
  • The matchup vs. Caleb Martin is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; when guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.1 free throws per game (12th percentile).

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