Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Heat are at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has failed to make 2.9 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 75th percentile for misses .
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Orlando Magic's subpar 11.0 drained threes per game comes in as the weakest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Magic have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Heat).
Paolo Banchero will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

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