Paolo Banchero Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 23, 2025 11:10 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has tallied 6.4 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while at home with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Paolo Banchero will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Magic.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.

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