Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has made 74.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% more than he's sunk overall this season on the road.
Onyeka Okongwu has made 100.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season at home.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
When playing on the road, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 24.6 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).
Onyeka Okongwu will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.