OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · New York Knicks

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 30, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

OG Anunoby has sunk 5.7 buckets per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
OG Anunoby has sunk 1.9 threes per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
OG Anunoby has averaged 34.1 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, OG Anunoby registers in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season.
The Knicks rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season in terms of field goals.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the New York Knicks.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.