OG Anunoby Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

OG Anunoby

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

OG Anunoby Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, O.G. Anunoby comes in at the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 6.3 per game this year.
O.G. Anunoby has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

O.G. Anunoby has sunk a measly 43.0% of his shots from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 43.3 rate last season.
O.G. Anunoby has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
With respect to offense, the Raptors's feeble 111.1 points per game settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 10.3 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Raptors.