Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Dec 22, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has tallied 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Toronto Raptors will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).
In regard to scoring, the Raptors's subpar 106.6 points per game as the home team rates 5th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, making this a challenging matchup.
Ochai Agbaji has made 60.0% of his foul shots while playing at home this year, ranking in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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