Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 17, 2024 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 41.7% mark, Ochai Agbaji's shooting ability has spiked this season to 53.1%.
Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Raptors will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 2nd-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on three-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 23rd percentile for foul-shot ability with the home court advantage with a poor 62.5% rate this year.

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