Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Ochai Agbaji's shots from the field have risen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games.
Ochai Agbaji has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Compared to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Ochai Agbaji's playing time has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game.
The Jazz have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Jazz will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).

Favors Under

Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Ochai Agbaji's personal fouls per game have spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games.
The Utah Jazz have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
While on their home court, the Kings have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 26.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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