Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (17.5).
The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.1 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Jazz.

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