Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (22.7).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more possessions for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the league).

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