Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin measures in the 88th percentile for field goal proficiency with a an outstanding 57.4% rate this year.
The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for three-point attempts; their opposition has averaged the 4th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are at home (30.8).
The Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (75th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have attempted 23.7 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, easily managing to draw fouls.
Obi Toppin will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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