Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 16.0 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 13.9 rate last season.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against Myles Turner is a positive one for three-pointers; when Turner is on the visiting team other starting Cs this year, they have sunk an enormous 38.4% of their three-pointers (80th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic registers in the 78th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful threes, putting up a colossal 3.0 per game this year.
The Bulls have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league while at home this year.

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