Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 2:23 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has converted 54.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Nikola Vucevic has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile.
The number of points posted against Nick Richards has been quite high (17.9 per game) when he is playing at home and facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 11thbest in in the NBA on the road with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Bulls's subpar 110.9 points per game places 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have totaled 38.0 3-point attempts per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a positive matchup.
The slowest pace offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).

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