Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 19.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls rank 1stbest in in the league with 17.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
As it relates to shooting, the Chicago Bulls's feeble 109.7 points per game ranks 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting Cs have registered 11.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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