Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic places in the 87th percentile for field goals hit when playing away from home, posting a massive 7.2 per game since the start of last season.
Nikola Vucevic has averaged 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 14th-least 3-point shots per game in the league since the start of last season (0.3).
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-slowest pace away offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).