Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has attempted 18.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Nikola Vucevic has attempted 8.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for shots from the field; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 29th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (63.8%).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Denver may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets have the home court advantage (13th-least in the NBA).
Nikola Vucevic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player performance for all stats.

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