Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has made 9.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Nikola Vucevic has attempted 4.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 78th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Nikola Vucevic has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Jarrett Allen is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Allen is at home and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (87th percentile).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Allen is at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game (8th percentile).
Nikola Vucevic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production for all stats.