Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one for field goals; their opposition have put up the 9th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (46.6%).
Nikola Vucevic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has attempted just 13.0 field goals per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 16.0 mark last year.
Nikola Vucevic has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (90th percentile).
The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 26.1 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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