Nikola Vucevic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The number of treys converted against Jalen Duren has been remarkably high (0.9 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Chicago Bulls are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Chicago Bulls have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 8.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic places in the 80th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off the mark three-pointers, putting up a whopping 3.0 per game this year.
Nikola Vucevic has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Bulls's poor 35.5% rate of successful threes while on their home court comes in as the 5th-fewest in the league this year.
This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing clubs have posted the 4th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (38.6%).
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.